Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 10.986360 12.682461 14.496905 16.575994 18.885879 21.366900 24.226537
2025-01-12 8.828805 11.049106 13.572752 16.631607 20.215826 24.259310 29.141405
2025-01-19 7.378457 9.893806 12.902347 16.720623 21.388917 26.860896 33.706185
2025-01-26 6.481444 9.228323 12.660580 17.187908 22.919639 29.848606 38.763538
2025-02-02 5.731102 8.623381 12.383854 17.517703 24.219058 32.538588 43.501573
2025-02-09 5.005176 7.945008 11.915541 17.514329 25.032218 34.594730 47.470069
2025-02-16 4.170622 7.005466 10.989407 16.796616 24.820322 35.276064 49.656110
2025-02-23 3.629976 6.420761 10.486078 16.589037 25.234706 36.738759 52.850237
2025-03-02 3.117474 5.813148 9.884785 16.178719 25.315887 37.722438 55.402932
2025-03-09 2.741153 5.372710 9.484248 16.013121 25.704229 39.104073 58.498082
2025-03-16 2.366126 4.886625 8.965218 15.622164 25.727225 39.955063 60.865551
2025-03-23 2.136742 4.621207 8.766390 15.693745 26.411400 41.733848 64.543328
2025-03-30 1.898849 4.314243 8.476669 15.606365 26.855858 43.191625 67.827867
2025-04-06 1.737575 4.128790 8.371197 15.798571 27.721681 45.272621 72.041020
2025-04-13 1.585546 3.941450 8.244158 15.941031 28.506290 47.247318 76.141749
2025-04-20 1.498545 3.872839 8.317719 16.414630 29.820112 50.033844 81.478556
2025-04-27 1.398447 3.764322 8.308587 16.742351 30.906914 52.502570 86.400671
2025-05-04 1.265188 3.567212 8.118628 16.743063 31.458847 54.168675 90.167600
2025-05-11 1.064946 3.191462 7.556920 16.052296 30.841684 54.016086 91.205598
2025-05-18 0.942384 2.975194 7.282617 15.852710 31.020400 55.085312 94.090503
2025-05-25 0.814510 2.724855 6.916041 15.457247 30.843679 55.581258 96.101667
2025-06-01 0.722623 2.549469 6.685734 15.297663 31.056416 56.689338 99.064983
2025-06-08 0.623232 2.336084 6.353994 14.920755 30.868873 57.141315 101.010456